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Small Business Sentiment Increases in Q4 2017

 In economic survey, Small Business sentiment, Working Capital financing

A recent survey by Metlife and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce finds small business sentiment increases in Q4 2017

Small business is the backbone of the economy making up 99.7% of US employer firms, 64% of net new private-sector jobs, 49.2% of private-sector payroll and 46% of private sector output. To look at health of the economy without considering the impact of small business, is to completely miss the boat.   A recent survey by Metlife and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce finds that small business sentiment increases in Q4 2017.

When influential groups such as the U.S. Chamber of Commerce release an index to determine sentiment of small business owners, people pay attention.  The latest such Index is the MetLife & US Chamber of Commerce Small Business Index released on November 21, 2017.

As a result of increasing confidence in local economies and small business health, the index increased for the second consecutive quarter turning in a respectable 63.2.  Of the xx small business owners surveyed, 63.2% have a positive outlook about their business and the small business environment in the United States.

Small business Sentiment Increases in 4Q 2017 Highlights.

Having gone through the report, five key findings emerge that are noteworthy as an indicator of the health of small businesses in the United States.  They include:

  • Local economies remain bright spots
  • The gulf is widening between the local and national economic outlook
  • Revenue and investment expectations remain steady
  • Holiday sales are not “make-or-break” for most small businesses
  • Most small businesses are not prepared for catastrophic events

Local economies remain bright spots

Local economies are strong this fourth quarter. Close to a third (61%) of survey respondents report that the financial health of their company is “good. With 39% percent rating their circumstances as “very good”.

Those that are doing best are larger businesses with between 100 and 500 employees reporting that things are “very good”. Of those businesses with four fewer employees, 37% would describe things as going “very good”.

Broken down by industry, 54% of professional services firms would describe their circumstances as “very good”. In contrast, 17% of respondents in the retail industry described things as “somewhat poor” and “very poor”. Retail was the industry with the worst sentiment across the board.

The gulf is widening between the local and national economic outlook

local vs national

The gap between local and national economies is increasing. 38% of small business respondents reported that they were bullish on the national economy while 48% were bullish when asked about economic growth in their own backyard.

Small business owners were most bullish about their local economy (55%) and the same when asked about the national economy (39%). Small business respondents in the Northeast a

re the least optimistic about their local economy (37%) and the national economy (36%).

Sentiment could also be broken down by industry. Professional services firms and those with greater than 20 employees were most upbeat about the economy.

Revenue and investment expectations remain steady

Over half of small business owners (57%) are optimistic about their revenue increasing in 2018. Those that have the most optimism are in the manufacturing and resources industry with 62% reporting increased optimism going into 2018.

A quarter (25%) of survey respondents reported that they will be increasing their investment activities. Those most optimistic and increasing their investment activities are companies in business less than 10 years (39%). Those businesses with between 5 to 19 employees are also most likely to increase investments in the coming year (31%).

Holiday sales are not “make-or-break” for most small businesses

It has long been held that the Holiday Season was when most small businesses, especially in the retail sector earned most of their revenue. This was found to not be the case across the board with the exception of retail. 55% of survey respondents categorize Holiday sales as “very important” whereas three quarters (75%) of respondents reported that revenues are the same (50%) or decrease (24%) during the period.  As would be expected, those firms reporting revenues as the same or decreased revenues during the Holiday season were professional services firms and manufacturers.

holiday season activity

Most small businesses are not prepared for catastrophic events

Most small business owners do not have any plans in place to cope with a natural disaster (65%) or inclement weather (65%).  Half of survey respondents have plans in plan

small business disaster preparedness

s in place to deter intruders and prevent theft while 47% have a plan in place to fight cybercrime.  Almost a quarter (23%) of survey respondents don’t have any plan in place to address any of th

ese events.

While most small business owners surveyed (68%) have never had to unexpectedly close their business, those that had, reported that the reason why was because of the natu

ral disasters or inclement weather.

Cybercrime was also a key concern of respondents in the Q3 survey.  Of the types of businesses surveyed, 20% of businesses with more than 20 employees and professional services businesses were likely to be prepared. Businesses in the remaining industries were notably less prepared.

Takeaways:

What are the takeaways from this survey?

The takeaways are that things are good, locally for many small businesses, so much so that they have the confidence to make investments in growing their companies. The Holidays, while important for retail businesses, is not an issue for non-retail oriented small businesses.

The final takeaway is that there more that small businesses can be doing to prepare for those unforeseen events. Whether they be cyber attacks or weather-related events, an ounce of preparation today can be the difference between success or failure when disaster strikes.

Looking to grow your business, Zip Capital Group can help with working capital financing for small and medium sized businesses in all industries.

 

 

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